Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 32.739951 37.295889 42.283097 48.151883 54.874926 62.342767 71.276603
2024-12-22 26.969867 33.043629 40.208584 49.301109 60.557794 74.069277 91.567782
2024-12-29 23.412244 30.631808 39.744202 52.130611 68.594454 89.818023 119.402673
2025-01-05 19.919883 27.696299 38.147308 53.294858 74.817762 104.496247 148.861875
2025-01-12 16.510061 24.288355 35.370668 52.427713 78.233390 116.157142 176.746437
2025-01-19 13.991114 21.704669 33.316757 52.236169 82.621622 130.080375 210.914306
2025-01-26 12.497712 20.399983 32.942415 54.532727 91.276973 152.177726 262.622548
2025-02-02 11.353618 19.451536 32.969337 57.497381 101.635635 179.111751 328.450822
2025-02-09 10.059813 18.030991 31.979676 58.573596 109.014266 202.498314 393.468353
2025-02-16 8.679816 16.223271 30.015181 57.554172 112.428344 219.468144 450.482983
2025-02-23 7.552690 14.688281 28.289005 56.669610 115.953422 237.419075 513.847179
2025-03-02 6.630252 13.390122 26.795652 55.972370 119.741565 256.726995 584.887017
2025-03-09 5.957737 12.504969 26.026647 56.758510 127.137830 285.912673 687.124761
2025-03-16 5.315030 11.573127 25.007886 56.834948 133.067710 313.367240 793.155748
2025-03-23 4.923269 11.117850 24.938175 59.062038 144.553020 356.580901 951.051878
2025-03-30 4.455374 10.410566 24.185653 59.550000 151.993072 391.823476 1098.555449
2025-04-06 3.920536 9.454969 22.693109 57.934787 153.783718 413.163678 1214.140355
2025-04-13 3.511314 8.732267 21.634894 57.222914 157.849023 441.685510 1359.644497
2025-04-20 3.294552 8.453823 21.636062 59.339897 170.290785 496.915553 1605.015278
2025-04-27 3.131354 8.285905 21.894851 62.239040 185.744101 565.085883 1914.901214
2025-05-04 2.898004 7.890588 21.480088 63.136772 195.464767 618.428264 2192.699472
2025-05-11 2.607546 7.288696 20.393532 61.825163 198.026025 649.787463 2403.281101
2025-05-18 2.358358 6.762194 19.431630 60.710100 201.023010 683.598927 2635.512302